01 The Truth Was Never Gone: Perfect Aliasing in Compliant-Context Truth Probes
Below-chance truth-probe scores need not mean a model has hidden truth information. In the compliant-context setup studied here, truth and action training labels coincide: fitting either probe solves the same optimization. On adversarial evaluation data, scoring that direction against opposite labels forces complementary AUROCs. Mixed-context fitting separates the two targets.
The aliasing rate then follows in closed form from two published behavioural rates and no activations at all, released as a 40-line audit function. The constructive half is a randomized-codebook task plus mixed-context fitting: on identical activations of a Gemma-2-9B policy lying on 100% of adversarial trials, the conventional probe reads 0.006 while the identified probe reads 1.000 with zero seed variance, holding at the final layer in 19 of 21 cells across four architectures (3B to 32B). Scoped to linear decodability, not causal use.